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Projected change in wheat(wh) productivity using the mechanistic crop growth model, DSSAT(ds) Band 1  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 2  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 3  88th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 4  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 5  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations.

Projected change in wheat(wh) productivity using the mechanistic crop growth model, DSSAT(ds) Band 1  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 2  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 3  88th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 4  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 5  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations.

Projected change in maize(mz) productivity using the mechanistic crop growth model, DSSAT(ds) Band 1  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations Band 2  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations Band 3  88th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations Band 4  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations Band 5  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations

Images show the projected suitability by eGAM models for maize (mz), under simulations in which plant response to elevated CO2 was assumed to be unenhanced (lowco2). The images are expressed as a fraction of 18 scenarios, where 0 means all scenarios show no suitability, and 1 means all scenarios show suitability.

Images show the projected suitability by DSSAT (ds) models for maize, under simulations in which plant response to elevated CO2 was assumed to be enhanced (highco2). The images are expressed as a fraction of 18 scenarios, where 0 means all scenarios show no suitability, and 1 means all scenarios show suitability. The images are expressed as a fraction of 18 scenarios, where 0 means all scenarios show no suitability, and 1 means all scenarios show suitability.

Projected change in wheat(wh) productivity using the generalized additive model (gam) Band 1  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations Band 2  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations Band 3  88th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations Band 4  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations Band 5  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations

Images show the projected suitability by DSSAT (ds) model for spring wheat (wh), under simulations in which plant response to elevated CO2 was assumed to be unenhanced (lowco2). The images are expressed as a fraction of 18 scenarios, where 0 means all scenarios show no suitability, and 1 means all scenarios show suitability.

Images show the projected suitability by GAM models for spring wheat (wh), under simulations in which plant response to elevated CO2 was assumed to be enhanced (highco2). The images are expressed as a fraction of 18 scenarios, where 0 means all scenarios show no suitability, and 1 means all scenarios show suitability.

Projected change in wheat(wh) productivity using the mechanistic crop growth model, DSSAT(ds) Band 1  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 2  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 3  88th percentile projected percent change in yield for enhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 4  11th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations. Band 5  50th percentile projected percent change in yield for unenhanced CO2 response simulations.